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ReVAMP Funded Projects

Informing Climate Change Adaptation Planning in National Parks

One of the biggest challenges facing resource managers today is not knowing exactly when, where, or how climate change effects will unfold. In order to plan for this uncertain future, managers have begun to use a tool known as scenario planning, in which climate models are used to identify different plausible climate conditions, known as “scenarios”, for a particular area.

Foundational Science Area: Ecological Drought, Climate Extremes, and the Water Cycle in the North Central U.S.

In the North Central U.S., drought is a dominant driver of ecological, economic, and social stress. Drought conditions have occurred in the region due to lower precipitation, extended periods of high temperatures and evaporative demand, or a combination of these factors.

Foundational Science Area: Climate Adaptation Strategies for Wildlife and Habitats in the North Central U.S.

Researchers with the North Central Climate Science Center have made substantial progress in assessing the impacts of climate and land use change on wildlife and ecosystems across the region. Building on this progress, researchers will work with stakeholders to identify adaptation strategies and inform resource management in the areas that will be most affected by changing conditions.

Building Social and Ecological Resilience to Climate Change in Southwestern Colorado: Phase 2

 

In southwestern Colorado, land managers anticipate the impacts of climate change to include higher temperatures, more frequent and prolonged drought, accelerated snowmelt, larger and more intense fires, more extreme storms, and the spread of invasive species. These changes put livelihoods, ecosystems, and species at risk.

Foundational Science Area: Maximizing Stakeholder Engagement to Support Climate Adaptation in the North Central U.S.

In the North Central U.S., the rate and extent of changing climate conditions has been increasing in recent decades. These changes include shifting precipitation patterns, warming temperatures, and more frequent extreme events, such as droughts and floods. As these changes occur, managers face different challenges and have different needs, depending on the resources they manage.

Enabling Climate-Informed Planning and Decisions about Species of Conservation Concern in the North Central Region

YellowstoneRiverValley_WY

The goal of this project is to identify climate-related scientific information needs in the North Central region that will support the management of key species and help avoid species declines.

Scaling climate change adaptation in the northern Great Plains through regional climate summaries and local qualitative-quantitative scenario planning workshops

Climate change is expressed in both regional climatic shifts (e.g., temperature and precipitation changes) and local resource impacts. Resource management in a changing climate is challenging because future climate change and resource responses cannot be precisely predicted. Scenario planning is a tool to assess the range of plausible future conditions. However, selecting, acquiring, synthesizing, and scaling climate information for scenario planning requires significant time and skills.

Forecasting changes in sagebrush distribution and abundance under climate change: integration of spatial, temporal, and mechanistic models

The future of sage grouse depends on the future of sagebrush, yet we have limited ability to anticipate impacts of climate change on sagebrush populations. Current efforts to forecast sagebrush habitat typically rely on species distribution models (SDMs), which are prone to a variety of well-known weaknesses. However, by integrating SDMs with complementary research approaches, such as historical data analysis and mechanistic models, we can provide increased confidence in projections of habitat vulnerability to climate change.

The Wind River Indian Reservation’s vulnerability to the impacts of drought and the development of decision tools to support drought preparedness

This project conducts an interdisciplinary, technical assessment of key social-ecological vulnerabilities, risks, and response capacities of the Wind River Indian Reservation (WRIR) to inform development of decision tools to support drought preparedness.

Understanding dynamics of land use switching with satellite and field level data in context of climate variability

What remains of the United States prairie ecosystem is threatened by economic forces and a changing climate. Grassland conversion to cropland in the Dakotas would imperil nesting waterfowl among other species and further impair water quality in the Mississippi watershed. We are working with grassland conservation managers to better target the use of public and private funds allocated toward incentivizing grassland preservation on private lands in the Dakotas.

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